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Hereward Fenton

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Contrails dissipate quickly whereas chemtrails linger?

13 May 2012
0 Comments

By Hereward Fenton

Categories: [ Chemtrails ]

Contrails over London in 1944

Vapour trails left by British bombers on route to attack flying-bomb sites encircle the dome of St. Paul's Cathedral. London, 1944.

All those who passionately believe that "contrails dissipate quickly" whereas "chemtrails linger" and are deeply offended by the sceptical position that TNRA takes in regard to these claims, are free to "unlike" Truth News.

If, on the other hand, you would like to engage in rational debate, you're most welcome to do so.

However, please be advised that the information I have to impart may be shocking and difficult to grasp if you have been a "chemtrail alarmist" for a long time.

The often cited claim that "normal contrails dissipate quickly" is total bunkum.

There is not a shred of science to backup that claim.  Nothing, nada, zippo!

Those who promote this idea are simply repeating something they read on a web page without checking sources.


 

CONTRAIL SCIENCE

For a contrail to form, suitable conditions must occur immediately behind a jet engine in the expanding engine exhaust plume. A contrail will form if, as the exhaust gases cool and mix with surrounding air, the humidity becomes high enough (or, equivalently, the air temperature becomes low enough) for liquid water to condense on particles and form liquid droplets. If the local air is cold enough, these newly formed droplets then freeze and form ice particles that make up a contrail.

Because the basic processes are very well understood, contrail formation for a given aircraft flight can be accurately predicted if atmospheric temperature and humidity conditions are known.

After the initial formation of ice, a contrail evolves in one of two ways. If the humidity is low, the contrail will be short-lived. Newly formed ice particles will quickly evaporate. The resulting contrail will extend only a short distance behind the aircraft. If the humidity is high, the contrail will be persistent. Newly formed ice particles will continue to grow in size by taking water from the surrounding atmosphere. The resulting line-shaped contrail extends for large distances behind an aircraft. Persistent contrails can last for hours while growing to several kilometers in width and 200 to 400 meters in height. Contrails spread because of air turbulence created by the passage of aircraft, differences in wind speed along the flight track, and possibly through effects of solar heating.

Thus, the surrounding atmosphere’s conditions determine to a large extent whether or not a contrail will form after an aircraft’s passage, and how it evolves. Other factors that influence contrail formation include engine fuel efficiency, which affects the amount of heat and water emitted in the exhaust plume.
- source

TNRA is informed by science and is not interested in propping up anyone's belief systems, and we don't apologise for that.

But, please, don't take it from me, speak to any meteorologist or any pilot and they'll tell you straight, that there is HUGE variation in the length and persistence of contrails. Sometimes they don't form at all, other times they form, but disspate quickly, other times they persist and spread out.

That's the facts folks, and it's been that way since planes first went up in the sky.

If you believe otherwise, I'm afraid you've been conned.

Forgive me if I seem rude or impatient on this topic, but every few months I come across a new wave of people who have been subjected to the same false propaganda about chemtrails, and I have to run the same arguments and cite the same articles over and over again. It does wear one's patience down.

Before making some kind of angry reply, I urge you to read this article and associated links. It's fairly detailed, and deals with most of the usual claims made by chemtrail alarmists.

Finally, let me qualify all this by saying that I do not doubt that geo-engineering programs exist, and that, indeed, some of the patented techniques discussed at international forums  include the creation of artificial cirrus cloud. Does this, however, entitle you to conclude that every spreading contrail you see is an example of such geo-engineering?

Think about it.

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Comments

Please review the Terms of Service before reading or responding to comments.

the fact that contrails may persist does not mean that something else isnt going on you gormless jerk. 5 days in a row so far, mostly sunny forecasts, yet persistent trails all day, they spread to cover the entire sky by midday,,, 5 days in a row. the cloud cover is coming from the arse end of planes, ive been watching it, and breathing it.
science says you need specific conditions for contrails to persist, and that those conditions do not occur all that often, they occur rarely according to a link posted by the anonymous troll josh himself, it is not plausable that these conditions have been constant over me for the last 5 days. dont try to tell me im imagining things - dont try tell me anything liar. not interested. any readers ( lol - this website has readers? pfffft )  that can think for themselves need only look up.

By Andrew Adams on 2014 11 08 - 05:37:51

“If you believe otherwise, I’m afraid you’ve been conned.”

that coming from the liar fenton who tells us a plane hit the pentagon. he has no evidence for that either. hmmm   - what shall we call this didinfo site? i know! how about truth! - that would be funny!

make one wonder why anyone would have an issue with people discussing whats going on. why is josh so determined to stop people questioning and seeking answers? if they are simply wasting their time? why does he care? why would any reasonable person spend their life arguing against something they dont believe in? im not religious but i dont spend years on christian websites telling them theres no such thing as god..

By Andrew Adams on 2014 11 08 - 05:46:14

Andrew Adams wrote:

“it is not plausable that these conditions have been constant over me for the last 5 days.”

If this is what triggered your assumption that ‘something else’ is going on, then you are entering the realm of statistics.

Yes, science says that on average persistent contrail conditions are rare (see quote further below). But it also says these conditions are not equally distributed, leading to local and temporal concentrations:

“</i>We showed that fluctuations on a large scale cannot be modelled by Gaussian distributions. Instead they must be modelled using distributions with extended wings, because large deviations of a quantity from its large-scale average have a relatively high probability</i>.”

(From the paper “Determination of humidity and temperature fluctuations based on MOZAIC data and parametrisation of persistent contrail coverage for general circulation models”, K. M. Gierens and others)

Now, what is the average coverage for persistent contrails?

The global and annual mean potential contrail coverage is 16% for the layer between 100 and 500 hPa. The ITCZ is most favourable for contrail formation, in particular at altitudes above 200 hPa. Between 250 and 300 hPa, the mid-latitudes show a secondary maximum of potential contrail coverage.

The actual present day contrail coverage was obtained by multiplying the potential contrail coverage with the fuel use according to the DLR-2 aircraft emissions inventory after normalisation. As expected the main flight routes are highlighted. The maximum cover is about 5% over Eastern USA. The annual global mean value is 0.09%.”

(From the paper “A Diagnostic Study of the Global Distribution of Contrails Part I: Present Day Climate”, R. Sausen and others)

Emphasis is mine. ITCZ is “Inner Tropical Convergence Zone”. Altitudes are given as pressure levels in hectoPascal; 250 hPa is equivalent to an altitude of 34000 ft, assuming “standard atmosphere” (average) conditions.

So, even if that continuing weather condition is unusual for your area, it’s not at all impossible. Ask someone in Southern California how many contrails they had during this summer. They certainly did not reach the 0.09% average.

(BTW, these papers were easily found by searching Google Scholar for “persistent contrail cover”.)

By Josh on 2014 11 08 - 16:47:07

again josh is trying to tell me what i am looking at without even knowing what it is im looking at.
he seems to think that because some contrails may persist for an extended length of time, that totally excludes all forms of aerial spraying, geoengineering or weather modification.
again, he ignores the fact i dont care what he has to say, considering he is an anonymous troll who spends his life telling people what they are seeing with their own eyes is not what they think it is, regardless of what they are seeing.

not interested #######.. what part of that is too hard for your little brain to comprehend. i wouldnt trust anything on this website as fentton lies, distorts, is a hypocrite and encourages idiots like you.

By Andrew Adams on 2014 11 10 - 06:08:56

Andrew, my sentiments exactly. I now only read this site for amusement.

By Leonard Clampett on 2014 11 10 - 07:06:54

everyone needs a good laugh every now and then Leonard. the hereward and josh dog and pony show never fails to give me a giggle. want truth? want news? go elsewhere.. want some mindless entertainment? dont go away folks..    folks?  hello? anyone here? :D

on one hand they tell us how nefarious our governments are, on the other they tell us we have noting to worry about.

Bill Gates backs climate scientists lobbying for large-scale geoengineeringOther wealthy individuals have also funded a series of reports into the future use of technologies to geoengineer the climate

By Andrew Adams on 2014 11 10 - 14:42:41

Contrails dissipate quickly whereas chemtrails linger?

be alert but not alarmed - josh anonymous, self proclaimed arbiter of truthiness

inquisitive subscriber: Let me see your qualifications.

josh anonymous: [with a small wave of his hand] You don’t need to see my qualification.

inquisitive subscriber: We don’t need to see your qualification.

josh anonymous: These aren’t the trails you’re looking for.

inquisitive subscriber: These aren’t the trails we’re looking for.

josh anonymous: He can go about his business.

inquisitive subscriber: You can go about your business.

josh anonymous: Move along.

inquisitive subscriber: Move along… move along.

 

 

By Andrew Adams on 2014 11 10 - 14:51:06

Andrew Adams,

you write that I’m arguing without even knowing what it is you are looking at.

If what you are looking at is so special, why don’t you take some images of it and post it somewhere?
Up to now, there is only your word for it, which is not good evidence in the light of your abusive comments.

Also, it was you who claimed that explaining five days of contrails and haze with “weather” is ‘implausible’.

I referenced a scientific paper which states that on average five percent of the Eastern U.S. sky are covered with contrails at any time. Annother paper says that there is a high probability for contrail conditions to be distributed inequally.
Both papers can be found by everyone doing a little research. They have no affiliation to this website whatsoever. If you still insist on ‘implausibility’ then point out their errors.

Also, provide a reference where I wrote that there is no “aerial spraying, geoengineering or weather modification” going on at all.

Obviously, there is cloud seeding as well as aerial spraying with chemicals to aid agriculture, firefighting, oil spill containment and mosquito control. None of those are applied at cirrus altitude though, nor are they able to create lasting clouds.

What I did write - and am happy to repeat - is that there is no evidence of persistent and spreading contrails (and possibly the associated haze) being anything other than ice crystals which are unintentional byproducts of plane traffic.

By Josh on 2014 11 10 - 16:30:06

Dear Josh
Please explain how come there were about 100 trails today and the same yesterday. Usually there is at best a jet a day. Do you think it has something to do with the weather front that is in western Qld and Nsw moving east?

By Cris on 2014 11 10 - 16:57:47

Cris,

again, look at a flight-tracker website to see how many planes are actually flying through your area at any time and are adding to existing contrails.
Here is a real-time view of Western Queensland on Flightradar 24.

The current weather report mentions a “trough” which may be a leftover from a front. Anyway, it delivers convection suitable to lift up moist air into contrail regions.

This is consistent with the current radar loop where you can clearly see the trough making its way eastward.
For preservation purposes, here is a screenshot from some minutes ago.

By Josh on 2014 11 10 - 17:30:57

Additional information for Cris:

You can play back recorded air traffic on Flightradar 24 for one month into the past. Here is an excerpt from the afternoon of Nov. 9 at 12x speed, with plenty of traffic over Queensland.

It is easy to jump to a day where you saw only few planes and compare the traffic.

Note that any time settings are in UTC which equals Greenwich Mean Time.

By Josh on 2014 11 10 - 19:39:03

Cris and Andrew,
This is what I call amusement, posted by Josh Anonymous. It is crap and you note he can’t explain why the chemtrails have only come on the scene since geo-engineering was begun in earnest back in the nineties.
According to his amateur reasoning we need only fly more aircraft to solve drought problems across the planet.
“What I did write - and am happy to repeat - is that there is no evidence of persistent and spreading contrails (and possibly the associated haze) being anything other than ice crystals which are unintentional byproducts of plane traffic.”

By Leonard Clampett on 2014 11 11 - 06:15:18

Those who depend on settled science will wait a long time because no science is ever settled, Science is a moving, evolving, ever-changing branch of human knowledge. Josh Anonymous makes so many waffles he should open up a franchise system and sell them world-wide. Chemtrails in totally clear blue skies, that is with no cloud at all, are man-made and that can be stated without fear of intelligent contradiction. I watched an aircraft leave a chemtrail yesterday overhead our home in Brisbane and it was no higher than 15,000 feet. Having been a pilot and weather observer since 1964 I can advise the amateur expert Josh that with complete disregard for his bleating about how the altitude was determined, 50 years of experience tells me so. There are no contrails left by aircraft at 15,000 feet. Ambient conditions have never been available at that altitude over Brisbane and even if it were a freak occurrence I am sure it does not occur on a regular basis as the chemtrails do.

By Leonard Clampett on 2014 11 11 - 06:29:09

why dont i post pictures so i can get your opinion of them? because i dont care for your opinion you gormless turd gobbler.

What I did write - and am happy to repeat - is that there is no evidence of persistent and spreading contrails (and possibly the associated haze) being anything other than ice crystals which are unintentional byproducts of plane traffic.

lol - little evidence.. only if you ignore the fact that ice doesnt not spread to cover the sky where i live 5 days in a row and then suddenly nothing..

lick me..  you pathetic shill. - the planes were flying overhead, spraying…. nothing on flight tracker..

By Andrew Adams on 2014 11 11 - 11:05:23

Andrew Adams wrote:

“little evidence.. only if you ignore the fact that ice doesnt not spread to cover the sky where i live 5 days in a row and then suddenly nothing. [...] the planes were flying overhead, spraying ... nothing on flight tracker.”

Well, as long as you can’t back that up with images and flight tracker screen shots, it’s not evidence.

What you say ice can or can’t do is entirely your assumption. Science says its possible, as shown before.
Weather is variable.

By Josh on 2014 11 12 - 03:59:15

i dont have to prove anything to you josh anonymous shill.
i know what im seeing is not natural, and i dont need your acknowledgement or otherwise.
there are countless thousands of photographs posted by concerned people worldwide, who also dont need some anonymous dickhead on the internet giving them his unqualified moronic opinion.
science says, according to links you posted, that the conditions for persistent contrails are “rare” - ie; that is not conducive to an overcast sky as a direct result of aircraft activity on what was otherwise forecasted to be clear skies.
piss off wanker - not interested.. try get that through your fat head.

By Andrew Adams on 2014 11 12 - 09:28:44

Please also explain how, on Sunday and Monday, there were numerous instances of 3 trails(sometimes more) being laid almost simultaneously: some side by side, some radiating from a single point, always in a basic northwest to southeast direction? Do jets only go in one direction? Do we have 3 flights at a time going in that direction through the Burnett? How much does it cost in jet fuel? Who can pay that much? By the way there was one non trail jet and a couple with trails on Tuesday.. None with trails today. Actually none at all. Is it possible that you might be oblivious to the obvious Josh?

By Cris on 2014 11 12 - 10:25:59

Cris,

there is a row of five planes between 6h and 7h on last Saturday (local time) coming through from NW to SE. (I recommend increasing the playback speed to 120x.)

If you let it run, around 8:30h there are two planes travelling very close together, QF128 from Honkong to Sydney on 37000 ft and CEB7295 from Manila to Sydney on 41000 ft. I did not watch the playback any further, I’ll leave that to you.

That general route seems to be busy with traffic between Sydney and Eastern Asia.

Interesting thing is, today much of this traffic seems to have been shifted eastward somewhat. This was probably related to the weather.
However, there were still numerous planes crossing the area to the West. Again, I recommend using a pair of binoculars on non-trail days, as airplane traffic is not obvious to the bare eye.

By Josh on 2014 11 13 - 03:40:18

Andrew Adams,

what you describe is not implausible. I have provided the numbers. Furthermore, similar situations were observed since the beginning of high altitude aviation. Here are some historic references, any emphasis is mine:

Monthly Weather Review, July 1921 (Reprint from “U.S. Air Service”); the contrail is called a “streamer” in this report:

[...] The second streamer formed with a background of light cirrus cloud and after 2 or 3 miles the plane seemed to go into the cirrus background, for the streamer formation ceased while an apparent path of blue continued beyond for a way in the cirrus cloud. The whole streamer may have been 3 miles long. After 20 minutes the streamer had drifted and spread until it merged indistinguishably with the other cirrus clouds visible.

Popular Science, May 1969, quoting Dr. Walter Orr Roberts, director of the National Center for Atmospheric Research at the time (see paragraph “How jet planes affect weather”):

Contrails, Dr. Roberts explains, do not simply spread out at the 30-40,000-foot altitudes where jets fly, but spawn cirrus clouds by seeding the upper atmosphere with ice crystals from the water vapor in jet exhaust. On a clear day, you can often see this happening near heavily traveled airways.

It is almost certain that on many occasions - 30 to 40 days a year, say - the cause of cirrus cloud cover can take in a substantial part of a continent, perhaps half of the U.S. [...]

Aviation and the Global Atmosphere (IPCC Report), J.E.Penner and others in 1999:

Systems of cirrus clouds have a lifetime that may reach several hours or even days (Ludlam 1980)

By Josh on 2014 11 15 - 00:51:52

Very interesting Josh; 5 aircraft at once in a radiating plane, then 3 planes side by side, and 100 in a day for 2 days?
When there are none to speak of the day before and the day after? Are you sure you don’t have a fertile imagination?
Carey Reams said: ” Look at what you see and see what you look at.”
The word science, from its roots, means to know.
I suggest you observe with a view to know.
I’ve been watching this unfold in the skies for 25 years.

 

By Cris on 2014 11 15 - 08:35:49

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RECLAIM AUSTRALIA IS DOOMED

Although I agree with many of their ideas, the forces reigned against RAM are too great, violent, statist and reactionary for them to remain a non-political, broad based, multi-ethnic, community protest group for much longer. The Left and their Antifa nihilist fellow travelers are already pushing them towards the extreme Right, by calling them racists and Islamophobes and so on. Whilst the extreme Right have aligned themselves with RAM. With fascists of the Left and Right pressuring them they will not be able to remain beyond the Left-Right divide and will inevitably move to the Right - the extreme Right. Which is already happening. A development which will alienate decent Australians of all ethnic backgrounds many of whom currently support them. 

The RAM leadership have already established open alliances with the Patriotic Front (the ape in the photograph is a Patriot Front supporter at a recent Richmond demonstration) Australia First and Golden Dawn, a Greek neo-Nazi party. Members of these collectivist groups are currently attending RAM demonstrations all over Australia.

There is a real need in Australia to establish a political movement beyond the Left-Right divide and their vested interests, a movement that questions the current direction Australia is heading i.e. the direction the Left/Right and their extremes would like to take it; that questions the efficacy of state sponsored multiculturalism, as opposed to a proper, non-discriminatory immigration policy; that questions the validity of political correctness; that is politically neutral, anti-war and pro environment; that is opposed to all collectivists ideologies (fascisms of the Left and Right); that would dismantle the power pyramids of corporations and banks and their ability to impact on government; that would dissolve all anti-terror laws and all laws that impose on the rights and freedom of the individual and the people.   

(The ape in the photograph is a Patriot Front supporter at a recent Richmond demonstration)

http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/reclaim-australia-rally-set-for-sydney-on-sunday-20150718-gifb9s.html

http://australiafirstparty.net/news/reclaiming-australia-queensland-senate-campaign/

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I second Keith’s assertion that Mike Holt from Restore Australia is very much a fake.  He bangs on about Halaal being a scam and money maker for Islam (and no I don’t support Halaal whatsoever), but makes excuses for its counterpart Kosher as being a somehow legitimate.  Double standards?  When I confronted him about this fact he went off on a convoluted tirade about Israel being some sort of “Bastion of Democracy” in the middle east…Really!, I will leave that one up to the readers to decide on.  I found that MH came across as disingenuous to say the least.

By Citizen Scorn on 2015 07 19 - 07:33:43
From the entry 'Restore Australia!'.

Without doubt, TNR is one of the best, if not the best alternative news source on the net. Which doesn’t mean Herewood is always right. His job, I believe, is to present the facts as he sees them as an objectively as possible, without fear or favor.  For this, he has my respect and support. But I believe he needs to be careful and to think a little deeper about the problems of “racism,” in Australia. He has labelled the Reclaim Australia Movement as racist. I’m wondering if his objectivity is a little weak on this point, a little without foundation.

Of course all political movements have its fringe groups and individuals. We make a distinction between, for example, a Muslim and a fundamentalist Muslim (Islamist), and by so doing we don’t claim that all Muslims are blood thirsty fanatics. If its good for the Muslims, then its good for RAM, which is bound to attract a few lunatics and real racists. But to brand the entire movement as “racist” is wrong; it is the same ploy that is used by the mainstream media and its left-wing, establishment Marxist boot boys.

One of the first things I noticed when i attended a RAM rally recently were the amount of non-white people in attendance, including Aboriginals. In fact the main banner of RAM contains an Australian flag and an Aboriginal flag. Speakers at their rallies have included Jews, Arabs, Indians, Aboriginals, Chinese and so on. What does this tell you? Is this really a fascist-Nazi-racist movement whose stated aim are the eradication and exclusion of other cultures, in place of some sort of Aussie white Reich, or is this just propaganda that is being propagated by the left for their own political interests. Consequently, we all know where the culmination of their politics have led, historically speaking, which are to the imposition of terror and dictatorships.

We can be thankful for small mercies, in terms of the Left, which today mostly tends to attract collectivists, establishmentarians and the privileged sons and daughters of the upper bourgeoisie, who seems to share one thing in common, nativity….

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Mike Holt from Restore Australia is very much a fake.  He hasn’t even been citizen for but a few years.  But, he makes out like he was born there.  ALSO - this guy spent 30 years in Thailand working shady businesses.  I would wager that his primary purpose in being an activist is that he wants to make money off selling merchandise.

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good to see you putting out some new shows heraward

freely the banana girl is to a certain extent a troll, as is her boyfriend durian rider. they have been trolling the fitness community on youtube for some time… and yes they are extreme but they are also trolls. They use their trolling to spread their message. currently, another dude called vegangains is trolling the fitness community as well.

i am a vegetarian, and it was seeing this documentary on the pork industry that started me on the vegetarian path. for anyone interested, its pretty off the charts disturbing and its australian as well. its pretty much made by dudes breaking into pork farms and filming what they find

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KArL5YjaL5U

Would the world be better if people cared where their food came from? probably, they might then care about other things too

do you become a better person if you dont eat meat? i feel like a better person mainly because animals aren’t being hurt because of me. i dont feel humans have to eat meat really… or at least not much. How can you watch that documentary on pork, know that that is pretty much whats going on and turn a blind eye to it? I think its basic empathy and just saying well ‘i like bacon so yeah’ is in my opinion wrong and i can see freleys point of view to an extent. In my opinion, at least these people believe in something. i see my money as my vote, henceforth im ethical as to what i do with it. free range eggs became mainstream for exactly this reason… although im pretty sure woolies and coles lobbied the state to change the definition of the word ‘free range’ at some point. I dont eat beef because the amount of resources that go into growing a cow are pretty crazy. Think about how much grass that cow needs to eat before it is harvested and how much space it requires. think of how many vegies you could grow in the same space with the same amount of water. lamb? comon, think about what your doing here… but that being said i think most vegans are total loons. People like freeley should be advocating for the destruction of lions and tigers, as lions and tigers murder other animals in truly horrific style. if we humans are smart enough to not harm animals, then we should be stopping the animals that harm other animals from existing. Freeley also kills birds when she flies in aeroplanes so she is a hypocrite.

feminism is one of the biggest problems in society today and although there is some valid historical basis to it, the liberation of the human female from their biology is in my opinion largely a product of the technological advance of humans. sufferagettes where never machine gunned on the streets, unlike the men that where drafted and sent off to war to die just a few years earlier. as technology has advanced, women have advanced as well, however now its going way too far and is pretty blatantly anti male in many respects. i view feminism in its modern context as a tool of the social marxists that really isnt doing society a great deal of good at this time. its screwing up gender dynamics and is wrecking women and men for each other. i see it as low frequency, lowest common denominator idiocy, just like a lot of the the race baiting ‘is this racist’ stuff getting around that is being perpetuated pretty much as a distraction, divide and conquer strategy by the power elite. idiots love this kind of bicker and beef… it would be funny if it wasn’t so serious

anyway

I agree with steven friar. gods a maniac

good show… keep making them

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Really truthfull.

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Yeah sure authority aware.

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Stay tuned for more rules here as usually is the case!!!

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Almost two months since the last broadcast! How the hell can you expect people to donate when you don’t broadcast? Looks like the ship of truth has sprung a leak. This broadcast has been part of my life almost since its inception…it is one of the few alternative news sources that hasn’t gone off the deep end, by dilution credible information with crap e.g. Fairdinkum Radio and Info Wars…Pittard started FR with some incredibly interesting material, but then he flipped…Today he sounds like a fundamentalist preacher, the Christian equivalent to a Fanatical Islamist. As an atheist, I think he’s really ###### up a potentially good show. As for Info Wars, all they would have to do to improve is dump Alex Jones, what a shit-for-brains. I reckon Jones and Pittard are allowed to proliferate, because they’re so stupid and harmless. I suppose they have some entertainment value, and along with David Icke are living examples of how low the alternative media has sunk. Truth News Radio is, or should I say was, way ahead of them all ahead of them all in terms of credibility How sad that its come to this.

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